CryptoPunk #6533 valuation (beta)
Male, Peak Spike, Eye Mask.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 34.7 ETH (about $78,791). 1σ range 31.8 to 37.8 ETH, 2σ range 29.1 to 41.2 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 70.0 ETH, 8.1σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 34.7 ETH (beta), 1σ range 31.8 to 37.8 ETH, 2σ range 29.1 to 41.2 ETH, confidence High, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Peak Spike -6%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #2235 2026-09-24: 36.0 ETH (32.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8557 2026-09-11: 32.3 ETH (32.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4986 2026-06-08: 50.0 ETH (45.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2235 2026-01-16: 30.0 ETH (31.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2235 2026-01-14: 26.8 ETH (27.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8488 2025-06-02: 48.8 ETH (32.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8488 2025-06-01: 46.5 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9018 2026-10-29: 30.0 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-06-11: 16.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-06-23: 17.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-07-16: 22.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.