CryptoPunk #6540 valuation (beta)
Male, Frown, Wild Hair, Classic Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 38.2 ETH (about $86,741). 1σ range 34.0 to 42.8 ETH, 2σ range 30.3 to 48.0 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 38.2 ETH (beta), 1σ range 34.0 to 42.8 ETH, 2σ range 30.3 to 48.0 ETH, confidence High, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #3758 2026-10-12: 40.0 ETH (38.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8632 2026-05-16: 45.0 ETH (41.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6140 2025-09-29: 46.1 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1794 2025-08-21: 52.5 ETH (33.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1794 2025-08-13: 51.5 ETH (29.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2727 2025-01-31: 46.0 ETH (35.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8460 2025-01-22: 60.0 ETH (45.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7042 2024-12-03: 46.3 ETH (31.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-06-21: 17.5 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-06-22: 18.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-04: 34.9 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-05: 53.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.