CryptoPunk #6553 valuation (beta)
Male, Shadow Beard, Mohawk.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 36.2 ETH (about $82,296). 1σ range 32.8 to 39.9 ETH, 2σ range 29.8 to 44.0 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 36.2 ETH (beta), 1σ range 32.8 to 39.9 ETH, 2σ range 29.8 to 44.0 ETH, confidence High, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +20%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Mohawk -8%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #3860 2026-07-02: 42.0 ETH (39.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3860 2026-03-19: 32.9 ETH (34.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2744 2025-11-05: 36.8 ETH (30.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2744 2025-11-05: 34.0 ETH (27.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2744 2025-11-04: 33.0 ETH (29.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #540 2025-10-13: 47.0 ETH (30.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3860 2025-09-03: 54.5 ETH (34.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2744 2025-07-23: 49.5 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-03-16: 25.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-05-03: 25.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-05-03: 23.0 ETH (accepted bid)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.