CryptoPunk #6578 valuation (beta)
Male, Hoodie, Regular Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 121 ETH (about $294,190). 1σ range 62.4 to 236 ETH, 2σ range 32.1 to 460 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 00:00 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 666 ETH, 2.6σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 121 ETH (beta), 1σ range 62.4 to 236 ETH, 2σ range 32.1 to 460 ETH, confidence Low, as of 00:00 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Hoodie +237%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #5092 2026-06-13: 200 ETH (186 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8968 2025-07-25: 135 ETH (78.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8968 2025-03-14: 128 ETH (101 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9404 2026-10-25: 29.5 ETH (29.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #7779 2026-10-20: 145 ETH (141 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9872 2026-10-03: 35.0 ETH (32.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #6489 2026-10-02: 45.0 ETH (41.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2529 2026-10-02: 36.5 ETH (33.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-09-25: 350 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.