CryptoPunk #6579 valuation (beta)
Male, Earring, Frumpy Hair, VR.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 41.4 ETH (about $94,015). 1σ range 35.7 to 47.9 ETH, 2σ range 30.9 to 55.4 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 80.0 ETH, 4.5σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 41.4 ETH (beta), 1σ range 35.7 to 47.9 ETH, 2σ range 30.9 to 55.4 ETH, confidence Low, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Earring -2%, Frumpy Hair -7%, VR +23%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #7559 2026-09-29: 40.0 ETH (35.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7559 2026-09-09: 30.0 ETH (30.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3218 2026-08-29: 32.4 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8949 2026-07-31: 35.0 ETH (32.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9558 2026-07-21: 57.0 ETH (53.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4855 2026-04-21: 39.0 ETH (41.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8949 2026-04-07: 27.8 ETH (29.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8949 2026-02-12: 35.0 ETH (35.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2019-07-06: 0.40 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.