CryptoPunk #6581 valuation (beta)
Female, Tiara, Cigarette.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 51.3 ETH (about $116,627). 1σ range 39.5 to 66.6 ETH, 2σ range 30.4 to 86.6 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 83.0 ETH, 1.8σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 51.3 ETH (beta), 1σ range 39.5 to 66.6 ETH, 2σ range 30.4 to 86.6 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Tiara +71%, Cigarette -2%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #874 2026-10-30: 28.9 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2278 2026-10-30: 27.1 ETH (28.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1603 2026-10-22: 62.0 ETH (59.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3859 2026-10-08: 36.0 ETH (33.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5931 2026-09-23: 32.5 ETH (28.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9310 2026-09-23: 38.7 ETH (34.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4065 2026-09-22: 32.4 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9310 2026-09-21: 30.2 ETH (29.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2017-07-29: 1.40 ETH (sale)
- 2019-05-18: 3.00 ETH (sale)
- 2021-06-07: 45.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-06-28: 50.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-08-08: 150 ETH (sale)
- 2021-11-22: 160 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.