CryptoPunk #6585 valuation (beta)
Male, Chinstrap, Messy Hair, Classic Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 38.5 ETH (about $87,446). 1σ range 34.2 to 43.3 ETH, 2σ range 30.4 to 48.7 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 38.5 ETH (beta), 1σ range 34.2 to 43.3 ETH, 2σ range 30.4 to 48.7 ETH, confidence High, as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 20:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +20%, Chinstrap -5%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #3758 2026-10-12: 40.0 ETH (38.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9706 2026-10-07: 37.7 ETH (34.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9142 2026-09-25: 34.5 ETH (30.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9142 2026-09-24: 33.5 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9142 2026-09-24: 33.0 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9706 2026-06-12: 42.1 ETH (38.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8295 2025-11-03: 54.7 ETH (45.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8619 2025-05-26: 64.0 ETH (41.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2019-11-07: 0.30 ETH (sale)
- 2021-01-22: 4.17 ETH (sale)
- 2021-07-03: 21.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-11-14: 97.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-11-15: 110 ETH (sale)
- 2022-01-24: 72.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-03-12: 90.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-06-18: 59.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2024-08-29: 34.5 ETH (sale)
- 2025-03-11: 45.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.