CryptoPunk #6621 valuation (beta)
Female, Hot Lipstick, Tassle Hat, Cigarette.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 30.8 ETH (about $74,699). 1σ range 29.3 to 32.5 ETH, 2σ range 27.8 to 34.2 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 30.8 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.3 to 32.5 ETH, 2σ range 27.8 to 34.2 ETH, confidence Low, as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 01:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (440 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +3%, Cigarette -2%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #2278 2026-10-30: 27.1 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4065 2026-09-22: 32.4 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2467 2026-05-19: 33.3 ETH (29.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #5032 2026-05-15: 29.0 ETH (28.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #5032 2026-05-14: 29.0 ETH (29.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4099 2026-04-30: 64.9 ETH (64.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8220 2026-03-20: 32.5 ETH (34.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8746 2026-02-02: 27.8 ETH (30.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2018-06-08: 0.10 ETH (sale)
- 2020-10-05: 5.70 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-02-17: 16.7 ETH (sale)
- 2021-03-23: 27.0 ETH (accepted bid)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.