CryptoPunk #6645 valuation (beta)
Male, Front Beard, Crazy Hair, Vape.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 34.6 ETH (about $78,614). 1σ range 31.7 to 37.7 ETH, 2σ range 29.1 to 41.1 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 34.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 31.7 to 37.7 ETH, 2σ range 29.1 to 41.1 ETH, confidence High, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Front Beard -7%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #4920 2026-06-05: 34.0 ETH (31.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7310 2026-05-17: 32.9 ETH (29.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3836 2025-06-13: 45.9 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3836 2025-05-04: 45.0 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1129 2025-04-27: 48.0 ETH (32.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1129 2024-11-15: 35.0 ETH (27.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9176 2026-10-27: 30.5 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8879 2026-10-24: 45.0 ETH (44.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-06-10: 15.3 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-07-31: 31.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-21: 40.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-08-22: 56.2 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-23: 65.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-27: 93.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-30: 118 ETH (sale)
- 2021-09-03: 134 ETH (sale)
- 2021-09-30: 268 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.