CryptoPunk #6646 valuation (beta)
Male, Handlebars, Frumpy Hair, Eye Patch.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 29.5 ETH (about $67,030). 1σ range 26.9 to 32.3 ETH, 2σ range 24.5 to 35.5 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 29.5 ETH (beta), 1σ range 26.9 to 32.3 ETH, 2σ range 24.5 to 35.5 ETH, confidence High, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Handlebars -6%, Frumpy Hair -7%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #2004 2026-09-22: 35.0 ETH (32.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2004 2024-11-28: 39.9 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3837 2026-02-05: 35.0 ETH (35.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2266 2025-12-12: 30.0 ETH (30.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5935 2025-11-05: 32.7 ETH (26.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3454 2025-10-06: 52.0 ETH (32.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5935 2025-09-16: 49.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5935 2025-09-12: 46.5 ETH (29.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-05-27: 15.3 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.