CryptoPunk #6666 valuation (beta)
Female, Black Lipstick, Earring, Orange Side, Clown Eyes Blue.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 48.1 ETH (about $109,472). 1σ range 38.2 to 60.7 ETH, 2σ range 30.3 to 76.4 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 666 ETH, 11.4σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 48.1 ETH (beta), 1σ range 38.2 to 60.7 ETH, 2σ range 30.3 to 76.4 ETH, confidence Low, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +23%, Orange Side +27%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 4+ sales landed within ±3.4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.5% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #3267 2026-04-18: 33.3 ETH (37.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6674 2026-01-19: 27.5 ETH (28.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1721 2026-11-03: 33.8 ETH (33.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5084 2026-10-27: 31.0 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4140 2026-10-24: 31.3 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5084 2026-10-19: 28.7 ETH (28.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4140 2026-10-07: 32.2 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2131 2026-09-01: 31.7 ETH (29.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2018-01-01: 0.75 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-02: 80.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-07-13: 92.0 ETH (accepted bid)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.