CryptoPunk #6820 valuation (beta)
Male, Chinstrap, Earring, Wild Hair.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 34.5 ETH (about $78,428). 1σ range 31.7 to 37.6 ETH, 2σ range 29.0 to 41.0 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 34.5 ETH (beta), 1σ range 31.7 to 37.6 ETH, 2σ range 29.0 to 41.0 ETH, confidence High, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Chinstrap -5%, Earring -2%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #3425 2026-11-02: 27.6 ETH (27.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1941 2026-09-23: 60.5 ETH (53.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2505 2026-09-21: 31.7 ETH (30.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8816 2026-09-03: 33.9 ETH (33.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1717 2026-08-23: 38.0 ETH (35.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2505 2026-08-20: 32.3 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6562 2026-08-13: 37.0 ETH (35.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6562 2026-08-12: 33.2 ETH (31.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-08-28: 120 ETH (sale)
- 2021-09-25: 128 ETH (sale)
- 2021-10-23: 120 ETH (sale)
- 2022-06-11: 65.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-03-21: 70.0 ETH (sale)
- 2024-11-09: 31.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.