CryptoPunk #6838 valuation (beta)
Male, Luxurious Beard, Knitted Cap, Cigarette, Eye Patch.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 37.3 ETH (about $84,798). 1σ range 33.3 to 41.8 ETH, 2σ range 29.7 to 46.8 ETH. Confidence: Medium. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 37.3 ETH (beta), 1σ range 33.3 to 41.8 ETH, 2σ range 29.7 to 46.8 ETH, confidence Medium, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #2473 2026-10-31: 38.0 ETH (37.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1020 2026-09-07: 39.0 ETH (39.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1839 2026-09-04: 162 ETH (158 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8353 2026-08-08: 40.5 ETH (37.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8353 2026-06-27: 42.0 ETH (38.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9953 2026-06-18: 165 ETH (151 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8870 2026-05-19: 130 ETH (115 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1106 2026-04-22: 30.5 ETH (31.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-05-14: 32.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.