CryptoPunk #685 valuation (beta)
Male, Mohawk, Regular Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 33.3 ETH (about $75,609). 1σ range 30.7 to 36.1 ETH, 2σ range 28.3 to 39.1 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 33.3 ETH (beta), 1σ range 30.7 to 36.1 ETH, 2σ range 28.3 to 39.1 ETH, confidence High, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Mohawk -8%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #2529 2026-10-02: 36.5 ETH (33.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2529 2026-09-27: 32.5 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2529 2026-09-22: 35.8 ETH (33.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3606 2026-07-21: 36.5 ETH (34.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2529 2026-07-13: 31.0 ETH (28.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #237 2025-11-20: 30.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5198 2025-11-14: 32.0 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5198 2025-11-14: 30.0 ETH (27.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-03-16: 26.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-02-04: 69.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-03-02: 70.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2023-03-13: 77.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.