CryptoPunk #6852 valuation (beta)
Male, Mole, Shadow Beard, Earring, Frumpy Hair, Clown Eyes Blue.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 29.7 ETH (about $67,493). 1σ range 26.9 to 32.8 ETH, 2σ range 24.4 to 36.2 ETH. Confidence: Medium. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 149 ETH, 16.3σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 29.7 ETH (beta), 1σ range 26.9 to 32.8 ETH, 2σ range 24.4 to 36.2 ETH, confidence Medium, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Mole -7%, Earring -2%, Frumpy Hair -7%, Clown Eyes Blue -8%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #3296 2025-03-17: 78.0 ETH (61.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3296 2025-03-10: 50.0 ETH (39.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2032 2024-11-26: 40.8 ETH (32.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2032 2024-11-12: 32.0 ETH (32.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3425 2026-11-02: 27.6 ETH (27.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7559 2026-09-29: 40.0 ETH (35.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4241 2026-09-22: 36.8 ETH (34.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7559 2026-09-09: 30.0 ETH (30.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-08-28: 158 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.