CryptoPunk #6853 valuation (beta)
Male, Front Beard Dark, Fedora, Eye Patch.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 35.4 ETH (about $80,425). 1σ range 32.3 to 38.8 ETH, 2σ range 29.5 to 42.5 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 35.4 ETH (beta), 1σ range 32.3 to 38.8 ETH, 2σ range 29.5 to 42.5 ETH, confidence Low, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Front Beard Dark -7%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #7368 2026-09-24: 39.9 ETH (35.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8155 2026-05-24: 40.0 ETH (36.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7516 2026-04-04: 51.0 ETH (54.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1863 2025-09-14: 45.7 ETH (28.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6193 2025-07-09: 41.0 ETH (29.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7516 2025-05-28: 60.0 ETH (38.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2301 2025-04-22: 134 ETH (91.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6193 2025-03-27: 41.0 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2022-05-19: 60.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-06-12: 52.0 ETH (accepted bid)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.