CryptoPunk #6861 valuation (beta)
Female, Earring, Mohawk Thin, Big Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 31.9 ETH (about $72,630). 1σ range 30.2 to 33.8 ETH, 2σ range 28.6 to 35.7 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 31.9 ETH (beta), 1σ range 30.2 to 33.8 ETH, 2σ range 28.6 to 35.7 ETH, confidence High, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +4%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #9383 2025-04-21: 41.7 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9383 2025-04-20: 40.2 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9383 2025-04-04: 42.6 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2654 2026-06-30: 86.0 ETH (80.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6379 2026-05-16: 31.8 ETH (29.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6379 2026-01-09: 27.7 ETH (28.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7670 2025-11-23: 41.0 ETH (41.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9205 2025-10-04: 92.5 ETH (56.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-02-16: 20.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-12-20: 60.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-12-22: 59.9 ETH (sale)
- 2022-02-05: 65.3 ETH (sale)
- 2022-05-11: 57.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.