CryptoPunk #6864 valuation (beta)
Female, Mole.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 31.5 ETH (about $76,400). 1σ range 25.6 to 38.9 ETH, 2σ range 20.7 to 47.9 ETH. Confidence: Medium. Valued at the latest floor (as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 31.5 ETH (beta), 1σ range 25.6 to 38.9 ETH, 2σ range 20.7 to 47.9 ETH, confidence Medium, as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 01:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (440 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +3%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 0-1 sales landed within ±9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±19.5% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #6239 2026-10-15: 31.9 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #1452 2026-09-23: 35.0 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4554 2026-09-22: 32.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4554 2026-09-05: 27.9 ETH (28.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #5917 2026-08-19: 31.4 ETH (29.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #5917 2026-07-25: 31.2 ETH (29.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2120 2026-06-28: 100 ETH (93.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4153 2026-06-14: 41.5 ETH (38.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2023-04-23: 58.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.