CryptoPunk #6873 valuation (beta)
Male, Cap Forward, Vape, Horned Rim Glasses.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 38.2 ETH (about $86,741). 1σ range 34.0 to 42.8 ETH, 2σ range 30.3 to 48.0 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 888 ETH, 27.5σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 38.2 ETH (beta), 1σ range 34.0 to 42.8 ETH, 2σ range 30.3 to 48.0 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #6479 2025-05-18: 58.4 ETH (37.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6479 2025-05-15: 51.0 ETH (32.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7163 2025-04-13: 62.5 ETH (44.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7163 2025-03-25: 56.0 ETH (40.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4375 2024-11-21: 48.0 ETH (38.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9216 2026-10-30: 31.3 ETH (32.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6066 2026-10-21: 60.0 ETH (57.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8159 2026-10-09: 35.9 ETH (34.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-01-22: 5.00 ETH (sale)
- 2021-01-26: 6.99 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-04: 55.5 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.