CryptoPunk #6878 valuation (beta)
Male, Mole, Bandana.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 33.1 ETH (about $75,304). 1σ range 30.5 to 35.9 ETH, 2σ range 28.2 to 38.9 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 33.1 ETH (beta), 1σ range 30.5 to 35.9 ETH, 2σ range 28.2 to 38.9 ETH, confidence High, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Mole -7%, Bandana -4%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #9065 2026-09-21: 31.9 ETH (30.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2687 2026-08-31: 35.0 ETH (32.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9065 2026-08-31: 30.9 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8788 2026-04-28: 31.2 ETH (30.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9065 2026-04-22: 29.4 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9065 2026-04-01: 29.0 ETH (30.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9065 2025-10-23: 41.5 ETH (32.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7190 2025-08-11: 56.3 ETH (30.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-08-06: 51.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-07: 53.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-09-16: 102 ETH (sale)
- 2024-02-09: 60.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2024-09-25: 31.0 ETH (sale)
- 2024-09-26: 30.5 ETH (sale)
- 2024-11-14: 34.5 ETH (sale)
- 2024-12-14: 42.0 ETH (sale)
- 2025-05-13: 50.0 ETH (sale)
- 2026-02-09: 36.9 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.