CryptoPunk #6938 valuation (beta)
Male, Knitted Cap, Clown Eyes Green.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 34.0 ETH (about $77,409). 1σ range 31.3 to 37.0 ETH, 2σ range 28.8 to 40.3 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 31.8 ETH, 0.8σ below the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 34.0 ETH (beta), 1σ range 31.3 to 37.0 ETH, 2σ range 28.8 to 40.3 ETH, confidence High, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Clown Eyes Green -8%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #7440 2026-11-01: 40.4 ETH (39.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2473 2026-10-31: 38.0 ETH (37.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4202 2026-10-29: 40.0 ETH (41.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3662 2026-10-25: 30.0 ETH (29.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3662 2026-10-25: 29.1 ETH (28.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1824 2026-10-02: 45.5 ETH (41.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1839 2026-09-04: 162 ETH (158 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9700 2026-08-28: 31.5 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2026-07-03: 35.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.