CryptoPunk #6940 valuation (beta)
Male, Front Beard Dark, Hoodie, VR.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 156 ETH (about $354,015). 1σ range 70.7 to 343 ETH, 2σ range 32.1 to 755 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 430 ETH, 1.3σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 156 ETH (beta), 1σ range 70.7 to 343 ETH, 2σ range 32.1 to 755 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +20%, Front Beard Dark -7%, Hoodie +238%, VR +23%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8359 2026-08-24: 125 ETH (116 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2301 2025-04-22: 134 ETH (91.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2301 2025-03-25: 115 ETH (82.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9176 2026-10-27: 30.5 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7779 2026-10-20: 145 ETH (139 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5098 2026-10-15: 30.4 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5098 2026-10-08: 31.3 ETH (28.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7368 2026-09-24: 39.9 ETH (35.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2017-12-05: 0.28 ETH (sale)
- 2020-09-13: 5.00 ETH (sale)
- 2023-04-08: 215 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2024-01-21: 205 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.