CryptoPunk #6949 valuation (beta)
Male, Gold Chain, Shadow Beard, Purple Hair, Cigarette, Classic Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 38.2 ETH (about $86,741). 1σ range 33.8 to 43.1 ETH, 2σ range 29.9 to 48.6 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 38.2 ETH (beta), 1σ range 33.8 to 43.1 ETH, 2σ range 29.9 to 48.6 ETH, confidence Low, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #7952 2024-11-14: 43.5 ETH (39.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8659 2026-09-23: 38.3 ETH (33.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5034 2026-09-19: 46.5 ETH (47.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1020 2026-09-07: 39.0 ETH (39.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3860 2026-07-02: 42.0 ETH (39.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8659 2026-06-12: 48.9 ETH (45.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6596 2026-05-13: 38.2 ETH (38.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2830 2026-04-22: 35.5 ETH (36.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
None on record.
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.