CryptoPunk #6953 valuation (beta)
Male, Frown, Muttonchops, Shaved Head.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 32.1 ETH (about $72,953). 1σ range 29.6 to 34.8 ETH, 2σ range 27.3 to 37.7 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 45.0 ETH, 4.2σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 32.1 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.6 to 34.8 ETH, 2σ range 27.3 to 37.7 ETH, confidence High, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Muttonchops -9%, Shaved Head -7%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #3391 2026-11-02: 30.0 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2167 2026-09-09: 28.2 ETH (28.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2167 2026-09-05: 28.3 ETH (28.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2167 2026-04-22: 28.3 ETH (29.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9110 2026-04-10: 30.0 ETH (32.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8671 2025-11-26: 37.0 ETH (36.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1947 2025-11-19: 28.5 ETH (28.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9816 2025-11-18: 58.0 ETH (56.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-04-09: 19.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-04-17: 19.8 ETH (sale)
- 2021-07-11: 19.4 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-08-31: 118 ETH (sale)
- 2022-08-08: 75.5 ETH (sale)
- 2022-08-14: 73.7 ETH (sale)
- 2024-04-12: 40.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2025-08-11: 56.0 ETH (sale)
- 2026-01-03: 29.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.