CryptoPunk #6978 valuation (beta)
Male, Big Beard, Frumpy Hair, 3D Glasses.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 60.9 ETH (about $138,406). 1σ range 44.0 to 84.3 ETH, 2σ range 31.7 to 117 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 60.9 ETH (beta), 1σ range 44.0 to 84.3 ETH, 2σ range 31.7 to 117 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Frumpy Hair -7%, 3D Glasses +76%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #7711 2026-10-20: 29.0 ETH (27.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5098 2026-10-15: 30.4 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5098 2026-10-08: 31.3 ETH (28.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4341 2026-10-05: 33.9 ETH (30.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7559 2026-09-29: 40.0 ETH (35.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4341 2026-09-28: 33.0 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4341 2026-09-25: 31.4 ETH (27.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5098 2026-09-22: 33.3 ETH (30.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-02-18: 24.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-04-11: 58.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-06-24: 140 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.