CryptoPunk #707 valuation (beta)
Female, Hot Lipstick, Rosy Cheeks, Straight Hair.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 31.6 ETH (about $71,775). 1σ range 29.9 to 33.3 ETH, 2σ range 28.3 to 35.2 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 200 ETH, 34.3σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 31.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.9 to 33.3 ETH, 2σ range 28.3 to 35.2 ETH, confidence Low, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +3%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #3190 2026-10-20: 29.0 ETH (27.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2721 2026-09-22: 36.0 ETH (33.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3190 2026-08-06: 34.0 ETH (31.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8058 2026-05-15: 35.0 ETH (33.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4772 2026-04-26: 29.9 ETH (29.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4772 2026-04-20: 25.1 ETH (29.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5863 2026-04-08: 27.1 ETH (28.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5863 2026-04-05: 27.0 ETH (28.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-10-03: 160 ETH (accepted bid)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.