CryptoPunk #7238 valuation (beta)
Male, Mole, Shadow Beard, Mohawk.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 32.9 ETH (about $74,762). 1σ range 30.3 to 35.6 ETH, 2σ range 28.0 to 38.6 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 50.0 ETH, 5.2σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 32.9 ETH (beta), 1σ range 30.3 to 35.6 ETH, 2σ range 28.0 to 38.6 ETH, confidence High, as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 20:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Mole -7%, Mohawk -8%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #2957 2026-07-12: 34.9 ETH (32.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2957 2026-07-03: 33.3 ETH (30.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3860 2026-07-02: 42.0 ETH (39.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4770 2026-03-28: 117 ETH (122 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3860 2026-03-19: 32.9 ETH (34.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6318 2026-02-23: 32.0 ETH (32.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6318 2026-02-11: 30.0 ETH (30.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8002 2025-12-31: 26.3 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2020-05-22: 0.92 ETH (sale)
- 2020-09-18: 1.94 ETH (sale)
- 2020-11-25: 2.69 ETH (sale)
- 2020-12-18: 2.90 ETH (sale)
- 2021-06-11: 15.5 ETH (sale)
- 2022-02-24: 67.8 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.