CryptoPunk #7405 valuation (beta)
Male, Shadow Beard, Knitted Cap, Pipe.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 37.3 ETH (about $84,798). 1σ range 33.5 to 41.5 ETH, 2σ range 30.1 to 46.2 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 37.3 ETH (beta), 1σ range 33.5 to 41.5 ETH, 2σ range 30.1 to 46.2 ETH, confidence High, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #7440 2026-11-01: 40.4 ETH (39.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5322 2026-08-03: 34.9 ETH (32.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7440 2026-05-12: 39.5 ETH (40.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4473 2026-05-12: 42.0 ETH (42.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3355 2026-02-02: 38.7 ETH (41.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4765 2025-10-10: 48.1 ETH (30.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8781 2025-09-16: 50.0 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4473 2025-08-14: 59.8 ETH (35.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-02-28: 22.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-03-12: 30.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.