CryptoPunk #7410 valuation (beta)
Male, Smile, Cap, Small Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 47.5 ETH (about $108,007). 1σ range 38.6 to 58.5 ETH, 2σ range 31.4 to 72.0 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 47.5 ETH (beta), 1σ range 38.6 to 58.5 ETH, 2σ range 31.4 to 72.0 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +20%, Smile +17%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8233 2026-11-02: 31.4 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8233 2026-10-28: 30.5 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4255 2026-09-02: 33.5 ETH (31.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4255 2026-06-28: 32.8 ETH (30.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7925 2026-05-17: 48.0 ETH (43.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3123 2025-11-18: 30.8 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7925 2025-07-30: 73.0 ETH (40.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7425 2025-04-26: 85.0 ETH (58.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
None on record.
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.