CryptoPunk #7414 valuation (beta)
Male, Mohawk, Vape, 3D Glasses, Clown Nose.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 58.1 ETH (about $132,208). 1σ range 42.8 to 79.0 ETH, 2σ range 31.5 to 107 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 58.1 ETH (beta), 1σ range 42.8 to 79.0 ETH, 2σ range 31.5 to 107 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Mohawk -8%, 3D Glasses +76%, Clown Nose -6%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #7173 2026-06-29: 88.9 ETH (84.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #806 2026-03-04: 43.5 ETH (43.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7574 2025-12-17: 27.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7574 2025-08-09: 55.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3698 2025-03-14: 86.5 ETH (67.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3698 2025-01-07: 82.0 ETH (66.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #806 2024-11-23: 39.5 ETH (31.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8956 2024-11-22: 42.5 ETH (34.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2025-08-02: 100 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.