CryptoPunk #7416 valuation (beta)
Male, Mustache, Stringy Hair, Cigarette.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 34.6 ETH (about $78,620). 1σ range 31.7 to 37.7 ETH, 2σ range 29.1 to 41.1 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 34.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 31.7 to 37.7 ETH, 2σ range 29.1 to 41.1 ETH, confidence High, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Stringy Hair -9%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #6068 2026-05-23: 33.9 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6068 2026-05-17: 33.3 ETH (30.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6068 2026-04-22: 30.0 ETH (31.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4011 2026-09-22: 32.4 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1020 2026-09-07: 39.0 ETH (39.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1839 2026-09-04: 162 ETH (158 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5450 2026-07-03: 32.2 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3315 2026-05-11: 32.2 ETH (32.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2020-05-22: 0.90 ETH (sale)
- 2020-08-20: 0.91 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2023-11-09: 55.5 ETH (sale)
- 2023-11-29: 58.9 ETH (sale)
- 2023-12-25: 59.6 ETH (sale)
- 2024-11-14: 32.5 ETH (sale)
- 2024-11-30: 42.7 ETH (sale)
- 2025-06-20: 40.0 ETH (sale)
- 2025-07-08: 41.8 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.