CryptoPunk #7425 valuation (beta)
Male, Smile, Cap, Regular Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 47.5 ETH (about $115,117). 1σ range 38.6 to 58.5 ETH, 2σ range 31.4 to 72.0 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 375 ETH, 10.0σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 47.5 ETH (beta), 1σ range 38.6 to 58.5 ETH, 2σ range 31.4 to 72.0 ETH, confidence Low, as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 01:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +20%, Smile +17%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #9537 2025-11-02: 41.5 ETH (35.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9537 2025-10-15: 46.0 ETH (31.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3843 2025-06-26: 48.4 ETH (37.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3843 2025-06-12: 50.4 ETH (34.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9680 2025-05-08: 46.0 ETH (31.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3843 2025-03-13: 41.0 ETH (32.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #5774 2025-02-17: 44.0 ETH (37.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3843 2025-01-17: 45.5 ETH (36.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2018-03-31: 0.10 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-02-19: 16.9 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-20: 20.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-24: 175 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-28: 269 ETH (sale)
- 2025-04-26: 85.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.