CryptoPunk #7451 valuation (beta)
Male, Crazy Hair, VR.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 48.0 ETH (about $109,109). 1σ range 38.8 to 59.3 ETH, 2σ range 31.4 to 73.4 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 48.0 ETH (beta), 1σ range 38.8 to 59.3 ETH, 2σ range 31.4 to 73.4 ETH, confidence Low, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +20%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, VR +23%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #9176 2026-10-27: 30.5 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8879 2026-10-24: 45.0 ETH (44.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6066 2026-10-21: 60.0 ETH (57.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8264 2026-10-14: 55.0 ETH (52.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1989 2026-09-22: 45.0 ETH (41.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2505 2026-09-21: 31.7 ETH (30.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1521 2026-09-15: 35.0 ETH (35.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6669 2026-09-10: 32.0 ETH (32.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2023-11-06: 88.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-11-06: 97.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.