CryptoPunk #7477 valuation (beta)
Male, Smile, Knitted Cap, Big Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 44.6 ETH (about $101,505). 1σ range 37.3 to 53.4 ETH, 2σ range 31.2 to 63.9 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 44.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 37.3 to 53.4 ETH, 2σ range 31.2 to 63.9 ETH, confidence Low, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Smile +17%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #1839 2026-09-04: 162 ETH (158 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9390 2026-02-26: 32.8 ETH (32.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9668 2026-02-18: 48.0 ETH (48.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8781 2025-09-16: 50.0 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5233 2025-07-30: 75.0 ETH (41.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5229 2025-07-16: 47.7 ETH (33.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9686 2025-05-09: 55.0 ETH (36.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6892 2025-03-13: 45.0 ETH (35.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-02-16: 10.0 ETH (accepted bid)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.