CryptoPunk #7563 valuation (beta)
Female, Wild Blonde, Welding Goggles.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 40.8 ETH (about $92,870). 1σ range 35.1 to 47.5 ETH, 2σ range 30.2 to 55.3 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 420 ETH, 15.4σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 40.8 ETH (beta), 1σ range 35.1 to 47.5 ETH, 2σ range 30.2 to 55.3 ETH, confidence Low, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +3%, Welding Goggles +29%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #5264 2026-10-24: 31.0 ETH (30.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5264 2026-10-24: 30.2 ETH (29.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6239 2026-10-15: 31.9 ETH (30.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1470 2026-07-07: 52.5 ETH (48.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8276 2026-07-03: 36.4 ETH (33.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8293 2026-07-01: 70.0 ETH (67.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7367 2026-05-29: 55.0 ETH (53.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4099 2026-04-30: 64.9 ETH (63.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2020-12-06: 20.0 ETH (sale)
- 2020-12-24: 20.1 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-01-07: 28.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-04-21: 75.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-09-25: 69.4 ETH (accepted bid)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.