CryptoPunk #7581 valuation (beta)
Male, Bandana, Eye Mask.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 37.8 ETH (about $85,923). 1σ range 33.8 to 42.2 ETH, 2σ range 30.3 to 47.2 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 125 ETH, 10.7σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 37.8 ETH (beta), 1σ range 33.8 to 42.2 ETH, 2σ range 30.3 to 47.2 ETH, confidence High, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +20%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Bandana -4%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #2577 2026-03-08: 32.8 ETH (33.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2577 2026-03-06: 29.9 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9361 2025-10-27: 50.0 ETH (38.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1314 2025-04-01: 47.5 ETH (33.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1314 2025-04-01: 44.9 ETH (31.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3378 2026-10-14: 33.0 ETH (31.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2235 2026-09-24: 36.0 ETH (32.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5581 2026-09-23: 40.5 ETH (35.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
None on record.
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.