CryptoPunk #7631 valuation (beta)
Female, Purple Lipstick, Earring, Stringy Hair, Cigarette.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 30.4 ETH (about $69,213). 1σ range 28.8 to 32.1 ETH, 2σ range 27.3 to 33.9 ETH. Confidence: Medium. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 50.1 ETH, 9.2σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 30.4 ETH (beta), 1σ range 28.8 to 32.1 ETH, 2σ range 27.3 to 33.9 ETH, confidence Medium, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +4%, Stringy Hair -3%, Cigarette -2%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 4+ sales landed within ±3.4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.5% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #628 2026-06-16: 31.8 ETH (29.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #843 2025-09-03: 90.1 ETH (56.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4455 2025-07-20: 47.0 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #843 2024-11-15: 69.0 ETH (54.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #874 2026-10-30: 28.9 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4405 2026-10-22: 88.0 ETH (84.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1452 2026-09-23: 35.0 ETH (30.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5931 2026-09-23: 32.5 ETH (28.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2020-06-30: 0.13 ETH (sale, not used: below-half-floor)
- 2020-07-03: 1.24 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.