CryptoPunk #7646 valuation (beta)
Male, Front Beard, Vampire Hair, Classic Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 28.1 ETH (about $63,936). 1σ range 25.3 to 31.3 ETH, 2σ range 22.7 to 34.8 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 58.2 ETH, 6.8σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 28.1 ETH (beta), 1σ range 25.3 to 31.3 ETH, 2σ range 22.7 to 34.8 ETH, confidence Low, as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 20:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Front Beard -7%, Vampire Hair -11%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #4282 2026-11-02: 30.3 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4282 2026-10-30: 29.8 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2412 2026-03-25: 31.5 ETH (32.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7341 2025-11-17: 30.8 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9026 2025-02-03: 40.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9026 2025-01-24: 45.0 ETH (33.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6435 2024-12-08: 39.0 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7332 2024-11-16: 40.5 ETH (32.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2020-04-26: 0.55 ETH (sale)
- 2020-09-14: 2.95 ETH (sale)
- 2020-09-28: 5.25 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-16: 12.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-06-20: 17.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-06-22: 18.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-07-31: 28.5 ETH (sale)
- 2025-10-04: 48.5 ETH (sale)
- 2025-10-06: 48.5 ETH (sale, not used: relay-same-block)
- 2025-10-06: 48.5 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.