CryptoPunk #768 valuation (beta)
Male, Muttonchops, Earring, Cap Forward, Big Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 33.8 ETH (about $76,826). 1σ range 30.8 to 37.0 ETH, 2σ range 28.1 to 40.6 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 55.0 ETH, 5.3σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 33.8 ETH (beta), 1σ range 30.8 to 37.0 ETH, 2σ range 28.1 to 40.6 ETH, confidence Low, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Muttonchops -9%, Earring -2%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #5459 2026-07-04: 33.9 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5459 2026-04-21: 30.0 ETH (32.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7233 2025-04-02: 49.0 ETH (34.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4620 2024-11-12: 36.0 ETH (36.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9404 2026-10-25: 29.5 ETH (28.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3739 2026-10-11: 33.5 ETH (31.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7998 2026-09-22: 42.5 ETH (39.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5133 2026-09-22: 34.0 ETH (31.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2026-04-17: 34.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.