CryptoPunk #7740 valuation (beta)
Male, Frown, Normal Beard, Messy Hair, Eye Mask.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 37.3 ETH (about $90,377). 1σ range 33.3 to 41.8 ETH, 2σ range 29.7 to 46.8 ETH. Confidence: Medium. Valued at the latest floor (as of 00:00 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 37.3 ETH (beta), 1σ range 33.3 to 41.8 ETH, 2σ range 29.7 to 46.8 ETH, confidence Medium, as of 00:00 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #3758 2026-10-12: 40.0 ETH (38.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4755 2026-09-23: 33.5 ETH (29.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4755 2026-09-14: 27.6 ETH (28.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2167 2026-09-09: 28.2 ETH (28.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2167 2026-09-05: 28.3 ETH (28.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2720 2026-08-10: 38.9 ETH (37.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2720 2026-07-23: 30.6 ETH (29.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2648 2026-05-25: 35.0 ETH (32.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2020-11-19: 3.31 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-01: 40.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-04: 45.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-23: 82.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-09-14: 89.7 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-10-24: 107 ETH (accepted bid)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.