CryptoPunk #7769 valuation (beta)
Male, Mole, Pipe.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 33.6 ETH (about $76,289). 1σ range 30.9 to 36.4 ETH, 2σ range 28.5 to 39.5 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 69.3 ETH, 8.8σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 33.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 30.9 to 36.4 ETH, 2σ range 28.5 to 39.5 ETH, confidence High, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Mole -7%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #4757 2025-01-07: 125 ETH (101 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3425 2026-11-02: 27.6 ETH (27.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #926 2026-10-06: 34.5 ETH (31.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #926 2026-09-24: 32.8 ETH (29.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #926 2026-09-22: 35.0 ETH (32.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4241 2026-09-22: 36.8 ETH (34.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8246 2026-09-22: 32.0 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5559 2026-09-21: 30.5 ETH (29.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2024-05-07: 37.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2024-06-20: 26.0 ETH (sale)
- 2024-11-06: 29.7 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.