CryptoPunk #7771 valuation (beta)
Male, Frown, Frumpy Hair, Pipe.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 31.4 ETH (about $71,419). 1σ range 29.0 to 34.1 ETH, 2σ range 26.7 to 37.0 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 57.7 ETH, 7.5σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 31.4 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.0 to 34.1 ETH, 2σ range 26.7 to 37.0 ETH, confidence High, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Frumpy Hair -7%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #7711 2026-10-20: 29.0 ETH (27.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5098 2026-10-15: 30.4 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5098 2026-10-08: 31.3 ETH (28.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5098 2026-09-22: 33.3 ETH (30.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5098 2026-08-21: 32.4 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7361 2026-07-12: 37.5 ETH (34.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5935 2025-11-05: 32.7 ETH (26.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5935 2025-09-16: 49.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2024-06-15: 27.4 ETH (sale)
- 2025-10-06: 49.4 ETH (sale, not used: relay-same-block)
- 2025-10-06: 49.8 ETH (sale)
- 2025-10-09: 48.1 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.