CryptoPunk #7774 valuation (beta)
Male, Muttonchops, Earring, Messy Hair.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 33.8 ETH (about $76,826). 1σ range 31.1 to 36.7 ETH, 2σ range 28.6 to 39.9 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 150 ETH, 18.0σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 33.8 ETH (beta), 1σ range 31.1 to 36.7 ETH, 2σ range 28.6 to 39.9 ETH, confidence High, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Muttonchops -9%, Earring -2%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #7885 2025-11-19: 30.9 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9404 2026-10-25: 29.5 ETH (28.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9142 2026-09-25: 34.5 ETH (30.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9142 2026-09-24: 33.5 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9142 2026-09-24: 33.0 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4755 2026-09-23: 33.5 ETH (29.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4755 2026-09-14: 27.6 ETH (27.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2167 2026-09-09: 28.2 ETH (28.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-02-16: 8.70 ETH (sale)
- 2022-05-19: 54.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-07-13: 55.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.