CryptoPunk #7781 valuation (beta)
Male, Shadow Beard, Frumpy Hair, Horned Rim Glasses.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 34.6 ETH (about $78,595). 1σ range 31.7 to 37.7 ETH, 2σ range 29.1 to 41.1 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 34.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 31.7 to 37.7 ETH, 2σ range 29.1 to 41.1 ETH, confidence High, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Frumpy Hair -7%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #1905 2026-06-15: 33.0 ETH (30.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1905 2026-06-07: 32.5 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1905 2026-06-03: 30.4 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8492 2026-05-10: 32.8 ETH (31.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8492 2026-05-01: 31.9 ETH (30.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8492 2026-04-28: 30.5 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6056 2026-01-08: 40.0 ETH (41.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1117 2026-01-05: 32.0 ETH (32.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
None on record.
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.