CryptoPunk #781 valuation (beta)
Male, Front Beard Dark, Earring, Police Cap, Regular Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 34.5 ETH (about $78,511). 1σ range 31.4 to 38.0 ETH, 2σ range 28.6 to 41.7 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 34.5 ETH (beta), 1σ range 31.4 to 38.0 ETH, 2σ range 28.6 to 41.7 ETH, confidence Low, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Front Beard Dark -7%, Earring -2%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #2401 2026-02-01: 28.5 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2401 2026-01-16: 25.6 ETH (26.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9618 2025-07-20: 48.0 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9404 2026-10-25: 29.5 ETH (28.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9449 2026-09-22: 33.9 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9449 2026-09-22: 33.0 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9449 2026-09-19: 29.1 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8375 2026-09-04: 32.5 ETH (31.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
None on record.
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.