CryptoPunk #7816 valuation (beta)
Male, Peak Spike, Big Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 33.9 ETH (about $77,025). 1σ range 31.2 to 36.8 ETH, 2σ range 28.7 to 40.0 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 33.9 ETH (beta), 1σ range 31.2 to 36.8 ETH, 2σ range 28.7 to 40.0 ETH, confidence High, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Peak Spike -6%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8783 2025-10-31: 39.9 ETH (32.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8521 2025-09-18: 55.5 ETH (34.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5918 2025-07-20: 48.0 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5229 2025-07-16: 47.7 ETH (33.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7527 2024-11-30: 42.0 ETH (31.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9018 2026-10-29: 30.0 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9404 2026-10-25: 29.5 ETH (28.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8427 2026-10-23: 29.4 ETH (28.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-05-13: 17.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-06-23: 17.2 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-27: 110 ETH (sale)
- 2024-03-11: 56.7 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2024-10-02: 38.9 ETH (sale)
- 2024-10-08: 33.5 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.