CryptoPunk #7821 valuation (beta)
Female, Earring, Headband, Horned Rim Glasses.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 30.8 ETH (about $69,953). 1σ range 29.2 to 32.4 ETH, 2σ range 27.7 to 34.1 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 30.8 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.2 to 32.4 ETH, 2σ range 27.7 to 34.1 ETH, confidence High, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +4%, Headband -4%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #3976 2026-10-09: 30.0 ETH (28.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2710 2026-09-21: 30.0 ETH (29.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7981 2026-04-17: 25.1 ETH (28.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2710 2026-02-05: 27.5 ETH (27.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3976 2025-12-08: 30.1 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3976 2025-12-03: 28.7 ETH (28.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7894 2025-07-23: 48.0 ETH (29.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7894 2025-06-04: 45.0 ETH (29.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-10-15: 119 ETH (sale)
- 2021-12-13: 64.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-06-14: 49.9 ETH (sale)
- 2022-06-17: 49.9 ETH (sale)
- 2022-07-21: 82.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.