CryptoPunk #7843 valuation (beta)
Male, Front Beard, Cap Forward, Clown Nose.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 29.4 ETH (about $66,898). 1σ range 26.8 to 32.3 ETH, 2σ range 24.4 to 35.5 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 31.3 ETH, 0.7σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 29.4 ETH (beta), 1σ range 26.8 to 32.3 ETH, 2σ range 24.4 to 35.5 ETH, confidence Low, as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 20:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Front Beard -7%, Clown Nose -6%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #5631 2026-07-28: 48.7 ETH (45.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2412 2026-03-25: 31.5 ETH (32.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #206 2024-12-03: 48.9 ETH (33.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #206 2024-11-14: 33.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7608 2026-10-16: 30.0 ETH (29.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8871 2026-10-16: 32.0 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6489 2026-10-02: 45.0 ETH (40.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #192 2026-09-24: 36.0 ETH (32.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2019-08-12: 0.30 ETH (sale)
- 2020-04-19: 0.59 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.