CryptoPunk #7844 valuation (beta)
Male, Front Beard, Earring, Hoodie, Classic Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 117 ETH (about $265,019). 1σ range 61.1 to 223 ETH, 2σ range 32.0 to 425 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 300 ETH, 1.5σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 117 ETH (beta), 1σ range 61.1 to 223 ETH, 2σ range 32.0 to 425 ETH, confidence Low, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Front Beard -7%, Earring -2%, Hoodie +238%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #7162 2025-07-24: 115 ETH (69.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9026 2025-02-03: 40.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7162 2025-01-25: 112 ETH (82.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9026 2025-01-24: 45.0 ETH (33.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9018 2026-10-29: 30.0 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8871 2026-10-16: 32.0 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9142 2026-09-25: 34.5 ETH (30.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9142 2026-09-24: 33.5 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2017-07-21: 0.30 ETH (sale)
- 2017-12-05: 0.17 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-08: 15.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.