CryptoPunk #7846 valuation (beta)
Male, Beanie, 3D Glasses.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 64.8 ETH (about $156,920). 1σ range 45.4 to 92.4 ETH, 2σ range 31.8 to 132 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 250 ETH, 3.8σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 64.8 ETH (beta), 1σ range 45.4 to 92.4 ETH, 2σ range 31.8 to 132 ETH, confidence Low, as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 01:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, 3D Glasses +76%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #4746 2026-09-22: 88.9 ETH (83.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #1326 2026-08-21: 51.0 ETH (47.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4822 2026-07-16: 67.5 ETH (63.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #6336 2026-07-02: 118 ETH (112 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #7173 2026-06-29: 88.9 ETH (85.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4441 2026-06-26: 278 ETH (264 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #6634 2026-05-04: 205 ETH (201 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #6042 2026-04-10: 92.5 ETH (100 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-01-06: 50.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-08: 97.0 ETH (sale)
- 2024-03-08: 220 ETH (sale)
- 2024-05-02: 187 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.